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To: calenel

These preliminary studies still give me enough confidence to multiply the official number of cases by 20, rather than 10 for an estimate, as I was doing.


226 posted on 05/01/2020 9:27:03 AM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Wu Flu! (when I feel heavy metal) Wu Flu! (when I'm pins and I'm needles) Wu Flu!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

“These preliminary studies still give me enough confidence to multiply the official number of cases by 20, rather than 10 for an estimate, as I was doing.”

Too much junk in the tests. False positives, picking up other corona virus antibodies, etc.

But 20 is a decent, justifiable high-end number, however I do think it could be much less than that now that testing is more widespread.


639 posted on 05/03/2020 7:42:54 AM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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