You are misreading my posts. The spikes you talk of are without doubt due to Covid19. The data is what counts for you and me as well.
But I do have a different view on the shutdown. At this point we don’t really know if it saved large numbers of lives. It may have. It may not have. But the decision to do so was rational based on the worldwide and U.S. infection and death rates.
But it was way, way too broad and dominated by NY and NYC. So Montana suffered quite unnecessarily.
But it is now time to end the experiment. Let the people and the business go back to work and let the market decide the winners and losers. Some businesses will be able to lure their customers back and some won’t. We need to let that play out.
And one more thing where we may or may not agree: I expect a lot more deaths than the experts are predicting. I feel bad about that but have accepted the idea as the price we have to pay to get back on our feet.
When Montana is connected to big cities with Wuhan by multiple daily flights, they contribute to Rt just like the guy with the outside hot-dog stand on the street.
I am the first to agree that one size does not fit all here. But our strength is using individual initiative and adjustments to get it under control. That takes learning from what has worked and what isn't working.
And no, I don't support universal lockdown forever and we need to get the economy going or we are all in trouble.