This is not surprising given what we have learned in the past few weeks. NYC and other crowded areas reliant on public transportation will likely have the largest numbers of infections for any human to human transmission. Simple logic.
What is surprising is that the real statistics of this virus related to its mortality rate are not front and center in the national conversation about “where do we go from here.”
The models we acted upon at the outset of this were wrong. Severely wrong. They were correct in assuming an unacceptable mortality rate among the elderly and vulnerable, but they took the numbers for that group and transposed them on all of society when the truth is that young adults and those in good health had very little risk of dying from this disease. Yet, we shut everything down in a one-size fits all model based largely on NYC.
Go figure. I pray President Trump is beginning to get a grasp on what I wrote above and what many are starting to say and write. Open the country back up immediately! We will have outbreaks and unfortunately more deaths, but NOTHING even approaching what they claimed we would.
“I pray President Trump is beginning to get a grasp on what I wrote above”
LOL
The problem that caused this is, it appears a large majority of people who catch this thing have almost NO symptoms at all. Many don’t know they are sick, and so they don’t get tested. We were basing everything off of what we thought was a good picture of the number of infections, based on people with real symptoms that needed attention.
So while this thing was killing off a high number of old people and people who were already severely ill or had chronic conditions, we thought it wasn’t infecting young people as much.
Now we know that it was infecting young people a LOT, they simply had no symptoms and never got tested.
Some state tested all their inmates, and 96% of the ones testing positive had NO SYMPTOMS. If that translated to the rest of the world, it means that our positive counts might be catching only 4% of the total, meaning the number who had it could be 25 times what we think.