Dis, Question about the chicom virus numbers. Is it possible that there is a large enough increase in testing to account for the latest rise? I’m ignorrant as to whether there is anyone keeping track of the number of tests being administered.
My apologies if this has been asked and answered, I am behind and just trying to catch up. Disregard the question if already addressed, I will see replies as I catch up.
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It is certainly possible.
As I was writing this, VP Pence just said: "As testing increases dramatically across the country, cases will increase as well."
Sometimes POTUS or Birx or Pence throws out the number tested to date, and every time I hear that number I find that "Total Cases" is about 19% or 20% of the "Total TESTED.
I think I understood that the gating factor on testing, to date, has been the capacity of the RNA testing machines that were used for HIV testing previously.
I have not heard that new testing techniques have started to hit the stats yet, but it could be ... and presumably WILL BE SOON, if not already.
On the other hand, it is my perception that most everyone with significant symptoms suggesting CHINAVIRUS is probably getting tested now. So increasing the testing MIGHT increase the negatives a lot more than the positives ... leading to a whole different set of analytical issues, but not significantly altering the current LINEAR TREND in new cases.
Lot's of speculation here, admittedly. We should get some answers in the next few days.