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To: amorphous

Thanks.
Assuming the west coast doesn’t go nuts, there’s still a big gap between NY metro figures and the ‘rest of America’ however.

We’ll see how it goes.

Anyway, there may be a big market for a tool that helps understand an infection solely on it’s nd/td ratio.
As in this case, sometimes that’s all we know.


297 posted on 04/18/2020 11:45:49 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: mrsmith
The metric certainly has potential. Especially in the hands of a team of skilled individuals with access to mountains of accurate data. It's a fast indicator for things like success of cures and treatments, but lags infections by a couple of weeks.

Numbers of those who present with symptoms and test positive are better/faster indications of how fast an outbreak is spreading. When we started this, there wasn't that much testing available for the US, however.

I also think it's the best tool for scoring states and countries on how well they're doing. Keeping score, and striving to be the best is a strong motivator for bureaucracies to do better.

If you can figure a way to get FR some donation funding from it, be my guest. :)

Personally, as to how the fight goes against Corona, I'm not too sure how well we'll fair if we don't hold tight to what we have in place. PPE will offset the removal of lockdowns, but PPE will only work if put to good use.

We have to be smart and diligent. I know I'm very thankful we have someone like president Trump in office running the show. If it had been Obama in office, I hate to imagine the thousands upon thousands who would have died, until our HCS collapsed, and then the numbers would have been in the millions.

I've really enjoyed the opportunity to work with you on this and have learned a lot in the process. I wouldn't have put anywhere near the effort into it without your encouragement. :)

299 posted on 04/19/2020 12:07:30 AM PDT by amorphous
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