[mrsmith]

Now, if only I knew how to apply for a grant...

[mrsmith]

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/06/21/why-the-white-house-is-reading-greek-history-215287

“… . The Yale University historian Donald Kagan calls Thucydides’ account “a source of wisdom about the behavior of human beings under the enormous pressures imposed by war, plague, and civil strife.”... “

A fun read. Somewhat germane.

[amorphous]

This will be the last projection and graph I'll hopefully need to post, unless things take a turn for the worse.

I've basically taken Korea's success and used their curve for what our future may hold. Once Korea dropped below and held below a 5 DFI, in approximately 20 days they were able to drop below 1, and have held that for two days now. Korea had 1 death yesterday and two deaths today. We're going to have more deaths daily when we get to where Korea is now, because even 1% of 50k - 75k is still quite high.

The US is below 5 tonight. Tomorrow is usually the Sunday dip, with a Monday spike following. If the US can stay below 5, I'm hoping in 20 days, the US too will drop below 1 on the DFI scale. That's what I've programmed into the projection below.

The last numbers on the projection are close to what president Trump mention today, 60k+, IIRC, during the briefing.

If the DFI stays below 5 or lower, we should start seeing major drops in daily numbers after about the 1st of May (see projection below).

Remember, I'm just some IT nerd with a computer and a few programming skills, and much can and likely will change. The farther out the projection, the less accurate it will be. YMMV

Good luck, and God bless!