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NO News is NOT Good News--Still Linear

Personal Message First--FEEL FREE TO SKIP to TODAY'S NUMBERS....
I understand some good people think posting these numbers and providing analysis of the trends may be playing into the hands of the derps and RATS who are attempting to use the pandemic to further their filthy leftist goals, not to mention the goals of China in disabling the American economy, injecting us with socialist poison and defeating President Trump.

I understand that the death numbers are padded.

That, actually, is one reason I prefer to focus on the CASES CONFIRMED by the RNA testing of specimens. I feel this statistic is the most objective and consistent measurement available for figuring out where we are in this historic crisis. (And it IS a horrid crisis, grievously harming America, even if the hysteria is vastly out of proportion to the actual disease.)

So to the FReeQs who feel this is all blown out of proportion ... I feel your pain. In a medical sense, you have a great case, but that is not getting the country open again. We have a great President now who is obviously a political genius. He knows exactly what he is doing. He is NOT FOOLED by Fauci or anyone else... BUT, he has to call his shots according to the BIG PICTURE, part of which is winning in 2020.

I am not apologizing for delivering the numbers, good or bad; but, I just wanted to say to those people who think I am a doom-spreading TOOL of the dark side or worse, that I am trying to provide the most objective look I can.

God in his wisdom and glory did not see fit to put me in charge of arithmetic.

TODAY'S NUMBERS

The rate of growth is not changing yet--not getting faster, not getting slower.

This daily rate would translate to 900,000 new cases (confirmed by testing) per month.

Assuming that most patients have either died or recovered in 4 weeks, a constant rate of new cases will settle down into a constant death rate unless there are improved therapies. That death rate for the last 10 days would translate to 70K deaths per month ... not good on many levels.

WE NEED THE CONSTANT DAILY GROWTH OF NEW CASES TO BEGIN FALLING.

United States COVID-19 Confirmed Cases

Date    	Daily	Total	Linear Model
        	Growth	Cases	Since
        	Actual	Actual	4/2/2020
3/14/2020		 2,717 	
3/15/2020	 761 	 3,478 	
3/16/2020	 1,167 	 4,645 	
3/17/2020	 1,717 	 6,362 	
3/18/2020	 1,407 	 7,769 	
3/19/2020	 5,911 	 13,680 	
3/20/2020	 5,605 	 19,285 	
3/21/2020	 7,462 	 26,747 	
3/22/2020	 8,478 	 35,225 	
3/23/2020	 11,107  46,332 	
3/24/2020	 8,816 	 55,148 	
3/25/2020	 13,870  69,018 	
3/26/2020	 16,635  85,653 	
3/27/2020	 19,363 105,016 	
3/28/2020	 19,448 124,464 	
3/29/2020	 17,892 142,356 	
3/30/2020	 22,003 164,359 	
3/31/2020	 25,151 189,510 	
4/1/2020	 27,005 216,515 	
4/2/2020	 28,698 245,213 245,213 
4/3/2020	 32,740 277,953 277,216 
4/4/2020	 34,123 312,076 309,219 
4/5/2020	 25,544 337,620 341,222 
4/6/2020	 30,576 368,196 373,225 
4/7/2020	 31,916 400,112 405,228 
4/8/2020	 32,020 432,132 437,231 
4/9/2020	 33,618 465,750 469,234 
4/10/2020	 35,551 501,301 501,237 
4/11/2020	 31,942 533,243 533,240 
4/12/2020	 27,289 560,532 565,243 
4/13/2020	 26,623 587,155 597,246 
4/14/2020	 26,937 614,092 629,249 
4/15/2020	 30,468 644,560 661,252 
4/16/2020	 35,221 679,781 693,255 
4/17/2020	 30,550 710,331 725,258 
4/18/2020		 . 	757,261 
4/19/2020		 . 	789,264 
4/20/2020		 . 	821,267 
4/21/2020		 . 	853,270 
4/22/2020		 . 	885,273 
4/23/2020		 . 	917,276 
4/24/2020		 . 	949,279 
4/25/2020		 . 	981,282 
4/26/2020		 . 	1,013,285 
4/27/2020		 . 	1,045,288 
4/28/2020		 . 	1,077,291 
4/29/2020		 . 	1,109,294 
4/30/2020		 . 	1,141,297 
5/1/2020		 . 	1,173,300