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To: Factuality

Rich Thompson:

Denmark, Scotland and Germany have done thorough antibody testing in specific locals and found infection rates between 12 and 27 times higher than they thought and models had projected. And a majority of the people were either asymptomatic or had very mild symptoms. This means that the death rate might be wildly lower than is currently suggested, as low as 0.2 percent — which would be very near to the normal flu. It could be close to 1 percent, but that is seeming less likely now, and still way below the 3.4 percent the World Health Organization put out that was used in the Imperial College projections of death totals.


5 posted on 04/16/2020 8:44:59 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Epstein pulled a Carradine, the bozo.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

More than .1% of New York City has already died of Covid19 - 10,000 out of 9 million! Even assuming EVERYONE in NYC has the disease, it obviously has a higher death rate than the flu. There is not a shred of evidence that all 9 million residents of NYC have the disease.
NYC Cases: 111,424
NYC Tests 199,273
Pct positive 55.9152519 %
Even 44% of those WITH SYMPTOMS, who are able to get a test, are negative for Covid19. It is obvious that those with symptoms are more likely to be infected than those with no symptoms.
If 56% of the city is positive then the mortality rate is at least .2% or twice that of the regular flu.
(10,000/(9000000*.56))=.2%
The deaths are far from over.
Those without symptoms can’t possibly have as high an infection rate as those with symptoms.
Therefore your stale argument from “Rich Thompson” who by the way is simply a random blogger who cites no data is bogus. He is a blogger who links to other bloggers, and they are all full of crap.
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-deaths-confirmed-probable-weekly-04142020.pdf
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page


9 posted on 04/16/2020 9:46:42 AM PDT by brookwood (Obama said you could keep your plan - Sanders says higher taxes will improve the weather)
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