Where did the data from the first column come from?
Worldometers shows Sweden with a 9% case fatality rate.
Wonder if that means they aren’t testing much, aren’t treating patients very well, getting large initial exposures resulting in severe cases, some genetic component, something else?
I don’t buy the numbers from Sweden. This thing kills the sh*t out of people in Italy, Iran and China, and we are to believe it’s a minor nuisance in Sweden? Someone is either lying, or something else is going on.
Not sure why anyone wants to talk up Sweden’s current government of the “red-green coalition” composed of Swedish Social Democrats, environmentalists/global warming fanatics of the Green Party and socialists/Marxists of The Left Party.
They’re doing a good job? Okay.
Sweden is doing a heck-of-a-lot better than Whitless’s Michigan with it’s new totally fascist new restrictions.
Or are they just updating as new information comes in? The model and predictions change every few days with new information. If their updated estimates show Sweden peaking later, maybe it is.
Here is the download page for the data: COVID-19 estimate downloads. Its kind of hard to lie about this while making the excel spreadsheet publicly available.
What are your feelings re this bs to blur what Sweden has done in a positive way.
Thanks
Dave
Sweden just reported 114 dead.
Thats equivalent of 3800 US dead in one day.
Total is 1033 equivalent to US 34000
Awesome success.
Sweden has reportedly had about 1,000 COVID deaths (per Bing).
Sweden has a population of about 10 million.
Sweden’s per capita death rate = 1 in 10,000.
USA has a reported 29,000 COVID deaths.
USA has a population of about 330 million.
USA’s per capita death rate = 1 in 11,379.
So, Sweden has a slightly higher per capita death rate than the USA, but there are too many variables, and it’s too soon to draw broad conclusions from it.
Well, at the least, some of those who die over the weekend aren’t counted until Monday.
Sweden:
3/9, 0 deaths
3/16, Sweden has its 3rd death.
3/20, 16, 0.98% fatalities/case
Date case dth rcvr dth/case
3/23 _2046 __27 _16 1.32%
3/24 _2299 __40 _16 1.74%
3/25 _2526 __62 _16 2.45%
3/26 _2840 __77 _16 2.71%
3/27 _3069 _105 _16 3.42%
3/28 _3447 _105 _16 3.05% Sat
3/29 _3700 _110 _16 2.97% Sun
3/30 _4028 _146 _16 3.63%
3/31 _4435 _180 _16 4.06%
4/01 _4947 _239 103 4.83%
4/02 _5568 _308 103 5.53%
4/03 _6131 _358 205 5.84%
4/04 _6443 _373 205 5.79% Sat
4/05 _6830 _401 205 5.87% Sun
4/06 _7206 _477 205 6.62%
4/07 _7693 _591 205 7.68%
4/08 _8419 _687 205 8.16%
4/09 _9141 _793 205 8.68% ,*89% unresolved
4/10 _9685 _870 381 8.98% ,*87% resolved
4/11 10151 _887 381 8.75% Sat
4/12 10483 _887 381 8.46% Sun
4/13 10948 _919 381 8.39% ,*88% unresolved
4/14 11445 1033 381 9.02%
Every weekend the death rate stalls - probably for administrative reasons - but overall, the deaths/case are rising dramatically. Let’s hope that is an artifact from reduced testing.
Again, the population of Sweden is 10.10 million. That is near the population of New York City. 86% of the population live in rural areas.
This needs to be taken into consideration when doing approximations.
I never thought that I would be saying this, but I think we should emulate Sweden’s approach.
For once, they are showing some common sense.