Posted on 04/12/2020 11:34:16 AM PDT by Conserv
The lessons of history strongly suggest that presumptive Democrat presidential nominee Joe Biden faces almost-guaranteed defeat in the 2020 race come November.
“Once you’ve been on the national scene for more than a decade, your odds of winning the presidency are really low,” Sean Trende, a “premier political number cruncher” known for his expertise in analyzing American elections, said in recent remarks to the Washington Free Beacon.
It doesn’t help that Biden is a 40-year political veteran who’s already failed twice at capturing a coveted seat at America’s helm.
“The second- or third-time runner is part of a broader trend that people who have been in elected office for a long time don’t do well, and that’s something that has been consistent going back to the 1920s,” Trende added.
Jason Miller ✔ @JasonMillerinDC Joe Biden was a terrible candidate in 1988, he was a terrible candidate in 2008 and he’s a terrible candidate in 2020.
Why did national Democrats think this time was going to be different?
But given the old adage “third time’s a charm,” perhaps this time things will be different? Eh, likely not …
“Biden exited the vice presidency in 2017 after 44 consecutive years in national office—eight in the Obama administration and 36 as senator from Delaware. His would be the lengthiest such record of any major presidential nominee in history. His résumé far exceeds that of other veteran presidential losers,” the Beacon notes.
“Clinton had eight years as first lady, eight years in the Senate and four as secretary of state when she ran in 2016; McCain had 25 years in Congress when he ran in 2008; Kerry had 19 years in the Senate when he ran in 2004; Gore had 16 years in Congress and 8 in the vice presidency when he ran in 2000; and Dole had 35 years in Congress when he ran in 1996.”
And as history has demonstrated, all five former presidential candidates — Clinton, McCain, Kerry, Gore and Dole — lost “bigly,” and this despite all possessing more victories under their belt than Biden.
“Biden is already different from recent repeat candidates because 2020 marks his first primary success,” the Beacon notes. “He had never won a contest until his landslide victory in South Carolina in February.”
The same may not be said of Clinton, McCain, Gore and Dole, each of whom had “won at least five primaries or caucuses in prior runs.” Yet they ultimately lost. Will the same happen to Biden? While the consensus on the right is that it certainly will, there’s a growing contingent of contrarian thinkers on the left who are predicting the same fate.
Unlike the right, however, the left isn’t as focused on Biden’s past election performances as it is with his past, period.
“Biden is the establishment candidate, with a record to match, one that has been wrong—often disastrously so—on fundamental questions over the past decades,” The Nation, a far-left magazine, warned last month.
This disastrously bad record includes the following:
Biden’s championing of financial deregulation Biden’s support of a 2005 bankruptcy bill that made it harder for Americans to file for bankruptcy Biden’s support for cutting Social Security and Medicare Biden’s backing of NAFTA Biden’s support for adding China to the World Trade Organization Biden’s support for the Iraq War Biden’s co-writing of a controversial 1994 crime bill Besides making him unpalatable to the average Democrat Party voter, this record also makes the former VP an easy target for the president.
“It will enable Trump to replay the campaign he ran against Hillary Clinton, posing as a populist insurgent against a failed establishment that enriched itself even as it failed working people. Trump will be the candidate of change against Biden, the admitted candidate of restoration,” The Nation pointed out.
In fact, the president’s campaign has already begun to use Biden’s record against him.
Look:
Team Trump (Text TRUMP to 88022) ✔ @TeamTrump Biden: Wrong on Foreign Policy for 40 Years
- Wrong on Iraq War - Wrong on Syria “Red Line” - Wrong on “Russia Reset” - Wrong on bin Laden raid - Wrong on Iran nuclear deal
Even Obama and Biden's former Secretary of Defense agrees ⬇️(video at link, Robert Gates)
Trump War Room - Text TRUMP to 88022 ✔ @TrumpWarRoom Joe Biden once said that Iraq would "be one of the great achievements" of his time as Vice President. He was wrong. Again. #DemDebate
video at link
Team Trump (Text TRUMP to 88022) ✔ @TeamTrump .@JoeBiden is apparently in Pennsylvania today.
Here's what Job-Killing Joe doesn't want the people of Pennsylvania and America to know:
View at link
Trump War Room - Text TRUMP to 88022 ✔ @TrumpWarRoom Replying to @TrumpWarRoom On at least 3 occasions in 2006, Joe Biden touted Delaware's history as a "slave state."
video at link
Conversely, history is one of President Donald Trump’s best bets going into the 2020 race.
“Only five presidents since 1900 have lost reelection; incumbents hold a 15-5 record since then and are 8-3 since World War II,” the Beacon notes.
Not only is this beneficial for Trump, but it’s also detrimental to Biden, given as “the three successful challengers of incumbents in the modern era — Jimmy Carter in 1976, Reagan in 1980, and Bill Clinton in 1992 — had a combined zero years of national office experience. All were current or former governors.”
Of course, all this only pertains to the historical implications in the 2020 race, meaning it doesn’t also take into consideration other extenuating factors, including but not limited to Biden’s gaffes, flubs and clear-cut mental decline.
When you factor these into the equation as well, it becomes increasingly difficult to see just how on Earth he could win come November.
When you factor these into the equation as well, it becomes increasingly difficult to see just how on Earth he (Slow Joe) could win come November.
Just a few days ago, Chris Wall@ss said virtually the sane thing.
oh come on now- Biden (Or should we say his speech writers) just gave a brilliant strategy plan for ending the virus- Funny though- He’s advocating all the things President Trump has already done practically- Cpt Obvious is jealous of Joe
[[Chris Wall@ss said virtually the sane thing. ]]
Chris said something sane?
Its a long way until November.
You haven’t begun to see he dirty tricks yet.
I don’t think it will matter. President Trump will win.
But its going to be one heck of a time.
So the only logical conclusion is that the dems don't expect to win this presidential election. Like the pubs have been at times, the dems just want to keep their hands in the cookie jar and have somebody to blame.
Maybe next cycle they cab run another Affirmative Action experiment like the Minister of Snappy Patter.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ADDrSvNyqEY
If anyone can watch 17 minutes of Joe Biden’s melting brain and still vote for him, they should not be voting.
Maybe they could run Boris Johnson, he was born in New York, and is just as eligible as Kamalalala Harris, Rubio, Cruz, Haley, Jindal or George P. Bush.
Gotta laugh at how others got out on the eve of Super Tuesday so Biden could win the Primary, and now all this turmoil.
The dirty tricks don’t work like they used to... and the internet has a lot do with that. We can quickly call HORSESH!T.
After the access hollywood tape, I remember trying to calm my sister(a reluctant Trump voter).
She kept telling me... Trump has lost the women’s vote, Trump has lost the women’s vote.
I repeatedly had to tell her... NO, HE HASN’T. Just stay calm. Don’t believe the media’s spin.
His résumé far exceeds that of other veteran presidential losers,” the Beacon notes.
Thank goodness the “experts” have spoken. I was worried there for a minute. Biden’s jello has more of a chance of winning.
Biden is just a place-holder, they’re looking for somebody else right now. Just like Howard Dean, Slow-Joe will be the front-runner until they find somebody else.
... meaning there is a tremendous amount(a treasure trove) to attack Biden on.
There’s a damn good reason Obambi always voted PRESENT.
He didn’t want to leave a trail of votes that could be attacked by his opponents.
... utter crap.
... and bringing up Howard Dean is just nonsense.
That was way early in the process.
Might as well bring up Pete Buttigeig while you’re at it.
Well, he does have a new face, and a much older brain.
Not enough?
“After the access hollywood tape, I remember trying to calm my sister(a reluctant Trump voter).”
This is how I knew the whole Russia interference was BS.
They were spying on Trump night and day and if they had anything worse than the access Hollywood tape they would have used it.
They put the country through the Russia/Muller BS, the Ukraine/Impeachment BS and not they are ramping up on the CoronaVirus BS.
These people are as dirty as it gets.
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