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To: DannyTN

Nice try, but you idiots have had to continually revise your death predictions down! These models and Fauci have been consistently
wrong! Your death predictions for the US went from 2.2 million down to 60K! Gee, your projections were only off by 2,140,000 deaths! Pfft! People should no longer listen to you! I’ll guarentee we aren’t even going to get to the 60K death toll you nuts are now assuring us will happen!

You’ve caused enough destruction to our economy and way of life! Just go away, and take your hysteria and pearls with you!


11 posted on 04/12/2020 6:43:58 AM PDT by Artcore (Trump 2020!)
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To: Artcore; DannyTN

Danny did nothing to the economy, Artcore. Not a single thing.

What are you attacking him for?

You’re the one that sounds hysterical. As far as I can see, you’re a lunatic.


13 posted on 04/12/2020 6:49:34 AM PDT by chris37 (Coronavirus wasn't born in a bowl of bat soup.)
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To: Artcore

In fairness, the latest revision of the model is doing quite well so far. April 11 total deaths: predicted 20,334 actual 20,577. That’s an error of 243 deaths or a bit over 1%. Further the current revision is so far underestimating the death toll. Obviously that may change, but so far the latest model is doing well.

BTW, this is fairly typical in science. Initial models often are inaccurate. There is typically much initial uncertainty about important factors that go into the models. As more data becomes available it becomes easier to determine the important parameters more accurately, and an improved model is the result. Inaccuracy of a previous model does not imply inaccuracy of the current one.


24 posted on 04/12/2020 7:40:27 AM PDT by stremba
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