[amorphous]

So by May 20 you’re looking at 125,000 people a day dying from this?

After recalculating with yesterday's 8.89 ratio. The May 20# lowered to 111k from the previous 125k#. That's 39 days out, and very hard to predict accurately. On the 6th, I had estimated 27k for the 15th - currently the projection is 28k. Just like the DJIA, there are so many factors involved, it's impossible to predict even close to 100% accuracy.

With the above in mind, below is the latest projection using my "experimental metric". I'm now calling it, "Daily Fatality Index (DFI)" - I replaced ratio with index in the nomenclature, after some confusion over the use of Daily Fatality Index (DFR):

It's a work in progress. Suggestions/comments appreciated.

Yesterday was the fourth day of a downtrend.
Estimated deaths today: 1,796, down 61 from yesterday.

After looking at today's numbers on worldometers.info, we're already we're at +1,090. Today may see an uptick from yesterday.

[metmom]

I just wasn’t clear what the graph was showing.

Let’s hope reality doesn’t reach the forecast by the graph.

[DEPcom]

“After looking at today’s numbers on worldometers.info, we’re already we’re at +1,090. Today may see an uptick from yesterday.”

If I remember correctly a lot numbers were added on last Tuesday that were not reported over the weekend. Sunday is always low. You can see that on the daily death chart on worldmeters.

Every Tuesday is a big jump. We will be able to confirm the pattern this Tuesday.

[mrsmith]

Yikes, it was on this thread. I should haver replied to it.
Hope you get what I mean.