In other words, social distancing is proving effective at containing the spread.
Who would have thought?
Either that or the models were way off form the start. And as we get more data, i.e. number of cases VS number of death, the projected mortality rate is dropping. Look at the worldometer chart. Our cases/M is going up, but our death/M has been dropping steadily. Just as many of us predicted. Our projected total death by Aug 4 was 81K+ yesterday this morning it is a little over 61K. A drop of 20K in one day and drop of close to 60K in one week.
Numbers matter. Maybe not to those on here who seem to revel in a high death count and fear. But the facts are the more cases we find without a corresponding rise in deaths will lower the projections. So, since the virus isn’t going away and a vaccine won’t be available for at least a year, the question that must be asked is how many projected deaths are acceptable as a trade off to save the country. People are going to die regardless of what we do. That number is never going to zero. What are we willing to accept? Personally I think it’s time to consider reopening the country in a week or two if the present trend continues.
We didn’t need to destroy the economy to deal with what is essentially a bad flu.