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To: Georgia Girl 2

Dunning-Kruger has reached epidemic stage for sure:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

;-)


57 posted on 04/06/2020 11:26:39 AM PDT by cgbg (Pattern recognition is the first sign of intelligence.)
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To: cgbg
I strive to maintain a balanced, objective position and a civil tongue at all times which is why I have never used a screen name to hide my identity; that is, it forces me to be both forthright and sociable. I admit there are occasions where I falter a little on the "civil tongue" part.

Please consider: Based on the most current data concerning the China virus, the anti-flubros may in fact be correct in their assumptions ... but not in the way they hoped to be. The most recent data reported by Johns Hopkins reports includes the following:

Infections
COVID-19: Approximately 1,286,409 cases worldwide; 337,933 cases in the U.S. as of Apr. 6, 2020
Flu: Estimated 1 billion cases worldwide; 9.3 million to 45 million cases in the U.S. per year.

Deaths
COVID-19: Approximately 70,356 deaths reported worldwide; 9,653 deaths in the U.S., as of Apr. 6, 2020.
Flu: 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide; 12,000 to 61,000 deaths in the U.S. per year.

So based on what we know today, this China virus is not, in fact and as the anti-flubros proffer, "just like the regular flu"; this China virus appears to be significantly less virulant and signficantly less lethal than the "regular flu".

Sorry anti-flubros, but you do need to hold the data -- the facts -- above the interpretation of models especially when the models are consistently inaccurate in their predictions and, most importantly, in the inevitability of their predictions.

As an aside, I do appreciate that by employing the reference to Dunning-Kruger you have at least elevated the name-calling to a higher level than "flubros", which, of course, results in an air of superiority over those who employ the far weaker perjorative against those with whom they disagree.

Cheers!

107 posted on 04/06/2020 12:39:26 PM PDT by glennaro
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To: cgbg; Georgia Girl 2

Just let her go to her big family reunion. I’m sure Darwin will catch up to her sooner or later.


163 posted on 04/06/2020 2:02:06 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Wu Flu! (when I feel heavy metal) Wu Flu! (when I'm pins and I'm needles) Wu Flu!)
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To: cgbg

More like 2/3 of the people on Free Republic have lost the ability of empirical thought. 99% of the folks who get covid 19 make a complete recovery similar to the seasonal flu but the whole country is shut down. Yeh that makes sense.


164 posted on 04/06/2020 2:03:12 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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