My assumption is that if they’ve been basically doing nothing to combat it, why are they not already in a full blown disaster? Why would their curve be behind everyone else?
...now I’m looking at some other factors. Yes, their death rate per 1M people isn’t particularly low (although much lower than Spain, Italy, France). I was expecting greater death counts but I didn’t realize there’s only 10M people in the country that is actually larger (in Sq. miles) than I realized. Not very densely populated. Even Stockholm has just shy of 1M people.
My assumption is that if they’ve been basically doing nothing to combat it, why are they not already in a full blown disaster?
Sweden only had its 3rd death on 3/16, and its hundredth on 3/27. Before then, there had not been enough time for the deaths to begin. There is a lag from symptoms to deaths, and then another lag from deaths to recoveries.
3/16, Sweden has its 3rd death.
3/20, 16, 0.98% fatalities/case
Date case dth rcvr dth/case
3/23 2046 .27 .16 1.32%
3/24 2299 .40 .16 1.74%
3/25 2526 .62 .16 2.45%
3/26 2840 .77 .16 2.71%
3/27 3069 105 .16 3.42%
3/28 3447 105 .16 3.05%
3/29 3700 110 .16 2.97%
3/30 4028 146 .16 3.63%
3/31 4435 180 .16 4.06%
4/01 4947 239 103 4.83%
4/02 5568 308 103 5.53%
4/03 6131 358 205 5.84%
4/04 6443 373 205 5.79%