If you use Italy as an example and take their death/1M people and extrapolate it to here it shows a total death count of a little over 83,000 not 250,000. I believe Italy is considered the worse case scenario so your simple model would seem to be way off
Yup. The number Birx and Cuomo are putting out now is 93K which is in the ballpark. I knew from looking at Italy numbers that 240K-2M was B.S.