Imperial College and the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at University of Washington (IHME) models predict the closest figures to those dished out by the White House.
IHME estimated US deaths will lie between 38,000 and 162,000 if every state issues a lockdown and stays on lockdown until the summer.
Christopher Murray, the head of the IHME group, told the Post that the two models are not comparable.
‘The reason we created our model is to help hospitals plan. How many beds you’ll need, how many ventilators, when the peak is likely coming,’ Murray said.
The purpose of Imperial’s model ‘is to make people realize government intervention is crucial and what would happen without that,’ he said.
The lockdown until summer is a longshot. I think people will rebel when they see their businesses going under.