Of course they aren’t. Stay at home orders need to be given when people are already doing them themselves. If there’s no cases in a county, what’s going to happen there? Most people are going to rightly say ‘this is bull’ and go out anyway.
We’re probably a month or two ahead of stay at home orders. That said, a 3% infection rate is the event horizon, NYC Metro is reporting .5% (with lack of testing) which probably equates to the horizon. The NYC Metro area should be on stay at home.
The testing is a relatively big issue that really needs to be addressed (Hey, California, pointing right at you dude, so put down that reefer and the board and turn that hat back around.) State department of health laws requiring testing being done in a state approved lab, even for informative and not diagnostic testing, is the problem here. State labs are close to two weeks behind. Quite a few will be dead before their labs come back.
Also really would have loved to see some guidelines from Washington DC on testing to not only overrule local rules about requiring diagnostic testing, but also protecting those being tested. Right now, there’s little stopping informative test sites from harvesting DNA at the same time to add to their databases.
So yep, we’re early. We have no standard for when it ends, and come when we REALLY need it (late fall), hopefully the second wave won’t be as bad as I fear it will be.
Until the vaccine and significant herd immunity, we're going to need 100's of millions of quick tests / month.
I'd be a lot cheaper than continuing to keep the economy on hold [in gaol, hoosegow, up teh river, klink, etc].