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To: Paladin2

That was a very neat website - thanks for posting.

A couple of observations:

The uncertainty in things like projected deaths and ICU beds needed is quite large.

If you want to see something scary, go to the New York entry, and scope out the difference between the number of ICU beds needed and the number expected to be available, in their worst-case scenario. If it comes to that they are so screwed - and I can’t imagine Cuomo looking good after that, no matter how slick his spiel. And apparently we find out by next weekend.


18 posted on 04/03/2020 5:44:24 PM PDT by Stosh
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To: Stosh

Yep, the UW models are more like weather models [currently pretty darn good 5 days out] than Climate Models, but do have greater uncertainty than the weather models [the climate models have surprisingly tight confidence intervals ;-)].

I have four States of particular interest and like to compare the modeling differences among them.


19 posted on 04/03/2020 5:55:32 PM PDT by Paladin2
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