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To: Mariner

People are starting to argue that there is a lot of latency in reporting - this tends to push deaths and diagnoses several days later than they actually occurred - this makes curves look more exponential than they should be. I have no idea whether this is correct, but I am getting more and more suspicious of these models.


19 posted on 04/02/2020 10:09:46 AM PDT by PlateOfShrimp
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To: PlateOfShrimp

The county/s health officer here said last week the numbers are wrong. Of the CDC confirmed cases here and those in surrounding counties, there are a dozen more cases associated with each case but there are no tests to verify the diagnosis and treatments. She is sure there are many more out there not associated with the confirmed person to person documented cases, but again, no tests. At best guess, add a zero to the official number.


40 posted on 04/02/2020 10:23:12 AM PDT by bgill (Idiots. CDC site doesn't recommend wearing a mask to protect from COVID-19)
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To: PlateOfShrimp

There is way, way too much focus on the day to day numbers.

Reporting requirements have changed a bunch of times in MA that I am aware of. Times change. Reporting structures have changed.

There are 10 AM reporting cut off for the state. There are federal reporting time at 5 pm. There are internal reporting times.

Each has differences and are sent differently.

Pick a reporting site. Stick with it. You will still get the “jist” of the status.


123 posted on 04/02/2020 11:34:50 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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