To be clear the death rate is NOT available yet. Though with modals that show it's between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected. The common flu is about 0.1% of those infected.
Models of future death rates are models of future death rates.
Historical death rates are historical death rates of historical diseases.
If models of future death rates fascinate you, knock yourself out...
I won’t believe any numbers until this is over.
“Though with modals that show it’s between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected.“
What models. Link, please.
“To be clear the death rate is NOT available yet. Though with modals that show it’s between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected. The common flu is about 0.1% of those infected.”
The 0.2% to 1.3% is based on very biased estimates of cases that fail to account for the statistics we do have. I believe it largely comes from people that are claiming that anybody with underlying conditions should not be counted as a CCP-19 death (even though that’s not how it works for ANY other cause of death).
The best outcome for a large scale infection anywhere in the world so far is about 2% deaths of infected. The worst case that we know of is 12% where a first-world HCS collapsed.
That first number is pretty reliable. The second has a lot of error in it, both ways. Undercounting of deaths and undercounting of cases. For that 12% to drop to 2% they would have to find more than half a million new cases in that country and have them all survive. They just are not there.
But I’m not sure why you’re arguing that 1.3%, 13 times the flu, is somehow not a big deal.