Posted on 03/29/2020 7:42:31 PM PDT by CaptainK
3/25 1027 +247
3/26 1295 +268
3/27 1696 +401
3/28 2221 +525
3/29 2484 +264
New cases down today too. But too soon to see if daily new cases have peaked. Need to watch all week.
I don’t believe the count is in from many states.
But as for the log graph of the number of cases, the curve is definitely flattening.
It is the final number for the day. I’m comparing it to the same time frame from yesterday.
Looks suspicous. Table of states has no increases and usually does. I usually wait for the next day to use these numbers. They change overnight sometimes.
Like I said, come Monday I have no idea. They were hanging crepe this evening and now this? It’s almost on the verge of statistical improbability. What was it yesterday? 525? Half of that? A Unicorn just flew over my house.
Looking at the entire country at once is silly in many ways. This thing is very local. In Eastern King County Washington we were the first to have cases noticed in this country. We have half a million Chinese immigrants living here and many of them go back to China frequently. Deaths in this part of the county appear to have peaked even while the rest of the state is having more. Our Hospital Intensive Care Units are back to normal. So even a look at the entire state gives a false impression about what we are experiencing in Eastern King County.
Deaths: 2,484
Recovered: 4,559
Active cases: 135,027
The number of Recovered cases is roughly two weeks behind the number of active cases because two weeks is the typical duration of the illness.
So, the number of Recovered cases should skyrocket accordingly while the number of Active cases plummets.
This is being driven by the data from New York. Need to watch New York this week to see if the trend continues downward. If so, the rest of the country will likely see increased deaths for a couple of weeks and then turn downward as well. The whole country deaths may be turn downward faster than expected if this is a seasonal virus, something which is still unknown.
Why does this number look suspicious but the others don’t?
Any good news will be met with a stern rebuke, and new horror stories of suffering and mayhem from COVID-19!
It is truly a sight to behold! We have FReepers who will pour cold water on any and all reports on anything positive on the Coronavirus front. Even the positive reports on the drugs that are showing great results in fighting Coronavirus are met with skepticism and hopelessness. You’d think some here get their marching orders from the msm!
New York is way down. Last week they were posting 10k-12k new cases per day. Now they are well below 10k.
I honestly didn’t think we would Fourier transforms to deal with this.
NYC also went down to 89 for today.
That’s normal, the site resets every count to zero each day at midnight GMT.
Isn’t it interesting that good news is termed suspicious.
People have been posted the stats from Worldometer for weeks without question.
Bookmark.
Thanks for the post.
Incomplete data...”Worldometer” is kinda hit & miss on their sources of data...they eventually get the #’s close but are usually delayed (3/29 not over yet & certainly not reported by medical authorities yet). Better source of data here: https://covidtracking.com/us-daily/ They are showing 463 fatalities so far today (3/29).
I don’t believe the count is in from many states.
But as for the log graph of the number of cases, the curve is definitely flattening.
Yeah, they probably took Sunday off. We’ll get the numbers tomorrow. This is just isn’t a critical situation in almost all states. I’ve seen many reports of hospitals sending home staff due to lack of work caused by the cancellation of elective surgeries.
Seems the only ones with no new deaths were sparse to start with.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/coronavirus/country/united-states/
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