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To: BereanBrain

Everybody is exposed to the flu multiple times each season. We have some herd immunity and vaccines. So only about 15-20% of the population gets it over the 7 months it is really active. Nevertheless, 0.1% of the people that get it die.

Relatively few, less than 1%, of the people of America have ever been exposed to CCP-19. Every exposure to the CCP-19 virus is new. Nobody has immunity, there is no vaccine. So up to 100% of the population could get it. In the 4 months it has been going, under the best circumstances we have been able to manage, it has killed about 2% of the people that get it. 20x as deadly as the common flu on a per case basis.

Today, in the US, more people died from CCP-19 than die on an average day from the flu in season. Our HCS is scaled for bad flu years. Not 5 or 6 bad flu years all at the same time.

We don’t even know for sure that CCP-19 has a season.

But, sure, let it run amok. What could go wrong?


21 posted on 03/27/2020 2:31:28 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: calenel

“....Every exposure to the CCP-19 virus is new. Nobody has immunity, there is no vaccine. So up to 100% of the population could get it. In the 4 months it has been going, under the best circumstances we have been able to manage, it has killed about 2% of the people that get it. 20x as deadly as the common flu on a per case basis.....”
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Hmmm...so 2% of those who “get it” (i.e., are infected with the virus) are killed. So what is YOUR total count of those who have been infected? That “count” needs to be known to compute your 2% death rate. And from where did you obtain this “infected” rate? Are there any “infected” people who have been missed in this count?

And what number of killed are you using in your computation of the 2% death rate.

Looking for clarity of thinking in this.


80 posted on 03/27/2020 4:32:04 PM PDT by House Atreides (It is not a HOAX but it IS A PRETEXT!)
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To: calenel

You are using bad numbers. Flu death rate is and has always been around 2%. Cv-19 is trending down to 1.25% or less.

England just dropped their prediction from 510,000 death to maybe 20,000


85 posted on 03/27/2020 5:14:44 PM PDT by dirtymac (Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of their country.(DT4POTUS))
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