Stop it already! That guy who ran his car into a bridge abutment was positive for COVID-19, so he died from it.
/s (as if it’s really necessary)
17% is a heck of a lot higher than the below .20% death rate for the flu.
So worse case 52M infected an 62k die that’s .1192%
Far less than the normal flu...
Actually this is the flu not COVID-19
You don’t know what you are talking about.
I am still surprised that it needs to be explained to you.
Can you go back and tell us how many of the hospitalized needed ICU or Repiratory care? Do you know their average stay?
This isn’t about dying. Calculate the needed hospital and ICU Bed days. Then come back and explain how that is not a big deal.
And, when it’s peaking in your city (and it will) don’t have a heart attack.
Like many other folks on FR who know nothing about how hospitals work, you are looking at the wrong numbers and coming up with incorrect conclusions.
But...it’s just the flu.
Well played, Berean!
It’s way too early to tell, but likely all the stay at home orders, social distancing, HAND WASHING, etc has likely saved more lives from Influenza B (specifically the Victoria strain) than have been lost in the US to COVID-19.
That’s a pretty impressive thing, as another 20,000 were expected to likely die from influenza this season, and those numbers are now shrinking to likely 5,000 - with 15,000 lives saved.
That’s some big deal there.
FluBros or not, our nation’s change in habits have saved quite a number of lives so far. Will that continue? I doubt it, I expect COVID-19 to make a roaring return. I wouldn’t even want to hazard a guess how many will die in the next year.
So let’s do the same for Coronavirus.
It doesn’t really have a season. It might slow down in summer but reports out of nations in the equatorial zone which are already warn cast doubt on that.
This is thought to spread 3 times easier than flu. but let’s go conservative and say that CV won’t infect any more people this year than flu did. So we will keep the 38-52 million ill and 18-26 million needing medical visits and thus confirmed cases.
So far 15% of confirmed CV cases require hospitalization. That’ will be 2.7 million hospitalizations compared to 730,000 for the flu. With a 2 to 3 week hospitalization length of stay for CV and maybe a week for the flu. That means almost 8 times as many hospital days as the flu. (4 times as many hospitalizations * 2 times Length of Stay).
And if the 1% die holds, Then confirmed cases * 1% = 180,000 to 260,000 deaths. That’s going to dwarf the 2018 40 year record flu death of 80,000.
They don’t have a clue
The flu does not kill that many. Few hundred to several thousand per year died of flu. The rest are pneumonia deaths and estimated flu deaths.
The people who believe COVID-19 is no worse than seasonal flu are the gullible ones.
Yes, there are very high annual numbers for people contracting the seasonal flu, getting hospitalized for seasonal flu, and dying from seasonal flu. But, contrary to what naysayers want you to believe, COVID-19 is much worse than seasonal flu.
Why? Because COVID-19 is far more infectious than any seasonal flu. Naysayers are looking at ANNUAL numbers for seasonal flu. But unlike any seasonal flu, numbers of known people in the USA contracting COVID-19 virus have been increasing exponentially by a power of ten (10X) every 8-9 days!
Consider this:
- On March 2 there were approximately 100 known cases in the USA.
- On March 10 there were approximately 1,000.
- On March 18 there were nearly 10,000.
- On March 27, mid-day, we are well over 100,000.
It graphs on a logarithmic scale as a straight line and the slope of the line has lowered little, if at all, since the beginning.
We are on course to have:
- 1 million cases in the USA by April 4th.
- 10 million cases in the USA by mid-April
The knuckleheads who think COVID-19 is no worse than a seasonal flu need to understand what the above numbers mean. The US healthcare system, personnel, logistics, and infrastructure, are facing well over 100,000 NEW cases in this month alone. Much worse, and here is where all comparisons with seasonal flu go out the window, the US is on track to have over 10 million NEW cases by mid April. Further, unless something drastically lowers the slope of that logarithmic line, COVID-19 can be expected to infect over 30 million people, 10% of the US population, by the end of April. Ask yourself, are we prepared to deal with tens of millions of cases of this virus in one single month?
No, COVID-19 is not like the seasonal flu!
Stop listening to those who pooh-pooh COVID-19.
Dig in, folks. We’re due for a rough ride!
I have been saying this from the beginning, this may not have the same symptoms as the flu HOWEVER it is no deadlier than the flu is!! NOW we have these same numbers with the flu each year AND we have vaccines that people can get but don’t, shutting the entire country down for this was absurd destroying our economy over this disgusting but that has been their goal!!! CONGRATULATIONS to all who have been able to create this hysteria in our nation!!! This has been wall to wall reporting of doom and gloom every damn day AND the entire American public fell for it disgraceful!!!