[BusterDog]

IHME Projected Peak Hospital Resource Use and Deaths

The projections assume the continuation of strong social distancing measures and other protective measures.

16 days until peak resource use on April 14, 2020

Hospital Bed Shortage 49,292 at peak

ICU Bed Shortage 14,601 at peak

Invasive ventilators needed 18,767 at peak

2,341 per day COVID-19 deaths projected on April 13, 2020

Total COVID-19 deaths projected to August 3, 2020 in United States of America 81,114

http://covid19.healthdata.org

"The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent population health research center at UW Medicine, part of the University of Washington, that provides rigorous and comparable measurement of the world's most important health problems and evaluates the strategies used to address them."

[cgbg]

I call that our “first peak”.

Then we start up the economy, and then hit our “second peak”, which will be a lot bigger than the “first peak”.

and then repeat a few more times.... :-(