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To: Jane Long
In case anyone is interested in why/how small polling samples can produce very accurate, broad projections, you might want to review some of the core principles covered in this article:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/howcan-a-poll-of-only-100/

The tl;dr version is: if "cases" weren't dependent on self selection, determination & reporting (of people feeling ill), but rather were a completely random sampling of individuals selected across the country, within regions, within demographic groups, etc, then it *could* be considered a valid statistical reference for those particular queries.

But it's not; imagine a political polling operation that questioned everyone going to a series of Trump rallies. Each day, as they continued to ask people who they were voting fore, the tally number of course would keep rising. Would the proglibs become alarmed? (By this process, not for other obvious reasons.) Why? The questions are being asked of self identified Trump supporters. Duh.

IOW, it isn't an accurate measure of the entire electorate. So too CV cases - the absolute number of 'respondents' is being tallied by different organizations to produce some kind of ratio to infected, resolved, fatal, etc. that fits their particular designed narrative.

I get why they're doing it - they're the self ID'd enemy; it's what they're supposed to do. But to have an ostensibly conservative web site continue to allow this completely - embarrassingly - process error post after post, day after day, really begins to raise questions.

371 posted on 03/27/2020 4:37:37 PM PDT by semantic
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To: semantic

Wow. You are wound up pretty tight.

Wait...I think someone is peeking in your window.


403 posted on 03/27/2020 4:58:28 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: semantic
Why don't you start your own thread. You are obviously smarter than everyone here.

Those with your fine perceptions will gravitate to your posts like flies do to stuff in a farm field.

This is an information thread on CPP-19.

I congratulate you on your fine cut and paste skills. You have done a great job of placing it all over the place. You might think it is a special public service warning, where others see it for what it is. SPAM.
521 posted on 03/27/2020 7:58:24 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media.)
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