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To: Yardstick

Looks to me like the article was published on February 28. In fact, according to the disclosure form, Fauci submitted it to the Journal on February 16.


With this, that is ancient history. At that time the disease was mostly isolated to China, and figures on ratios of unknown cases weren’t yet available so people were pretty completely guessing.

“If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. “

“If one assumes...”
“If one assumes...”
“If one assumes...”

If one assumes things since proven to be wrong, yes, alternate conclusions are available.

So he didn’t actually say the fatality rate is like the flu, but merely posited that the unknowns of the time included that possibility - which we appear to have moved well beyond.


34 posted on 03/27/2020 9:31:15 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: lepton
If one assumes things since proven to be wrong, yes, alternate conclusions are available.

The number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases being several times as high as the number of reported cases has been proven wrong?

Really?

52 posted on 03/27/2020 10:40:33 AM PDT by FreeReign
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