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To: wastoute

The problem is, the R0 is making it effectively happen all at once. Flu R0 is between 1.1 and 1.5, IIRC, but R0 has been estimated to be anywhere between 1.7 and 6 (!), making it a rapidly increasing illness. Thus, it is already slamming certain hospitals like flu never would. Combine that with the awful length of time that the worst cases are in ICU (with most of them apparently not making it), and certain hospitals in the NYC metro, southern Louisiana and Seattle have a very long row to hoe.

We’ll be lucky if this thing ultimately has an estimated death rate similar to the flu, bro.


45 posted on 03/26/2020 10:44:11 AM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Wu Flu! (when I feel heavy metal) Wu Flu! (when I'm pins and I'm needles) Wu Flu!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Those are numbers. Numbers just tell me where we are. We are in the Recovery Phase as a nation. Each Urban center is going to have it’s own epidemic. At the end it is going to come out about like the flu.


50 posted on 03/26/2020 10:46:44 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks; wastoute
but R0 for COVID-19 has been estimated to be anywhere between 1.7 and 6 (!)
64 posted on 03/26/2020 10:51:26 AM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Wu Flu! (when I feel heavy metal) Wu Flu! (when I'm pins and I'm needles) Wu Flu!)
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