Unfortunately, the flu bro’s teams of “experts” seem to make the rookie mistake of focusing on death rates while ignoring hospitalization and ICU rates.
They then fail to correctly calculate even the death rates by failing to take into account the unresolved current cases—which by definition may be future deaths.
They also fail to understand what happens when health care systems get overwhelmed—since deaths from non CV diseases will easily exceed CV deaths in that circumstance.
They also confuse total numbers for a year with a spike in numbers for a week or a month.
If CV cases were spread out over a year they would be much more manageable—unfortunately the virus does not play fair.
They also rely too heavily on low death rates from younger people while ignoring the hospitalization rates for those same people.
They also ignore the length of hospital stay for CV patients vs flu or other patients.
They rely too heavily on cooked data like that from China—garbage data in, garbage results out...
etc etc etc
Oh, I agree, the data, what can be trusted is nothing to
to be optimistic about and there is no way to rationalize
the numbers we are seeing.
I meant more is there an actual possibility of the “game
changer” or “silver bullet” that will let us off the hook
(relatively) easy, like:
1. a wonder-drug cocktail,
2. a mutation that renders CV harmless, etc.
I don’t want to encourage false hope or magical thinking,
I am just wondering if there are other “known unknowns”
(to paraphrase Don Rumsfeld) we haven’t considered with
CV and how long we’re going to be dealing with it.
“They also fail to understand what happens when health care systems get overwhelmedsince deaths from non CV diseases will easily exceed CV deaths in that circumstance.”
My brother fails to understand this. He stated he does not understand why the morgue are full. They get so many deaths average per a year already from etc, etc, etc and etc.
He forgets people are being turn away that have other illness which results in them dying too.