Quick quiz time—
Here are the UK numbers for today:
New cases: 187
Total cases: 8,264
New deaths: 13
Total deaths: 435
What do these numbers tell you?
(Hint: see my previous post about the young lady who died in her apartment...)
Answer to UK quiz:
The National Health System has _already_ run out of beds.
They won’t test you unless you are a patient, and the only way you get to be a patient is if somebody dies or is released.
So, the numbers to look for going forward is a death rate per positive cases that is very high, because the UK will be badly under-counting the positives, but the deaths will be counted reasonably well.
Many folks will die without receiving proper medical care, so before this is over you would expect the UK death rate to be very high compared to the US for example.
Worse, on the ground, many other UK folks will die from other conditions because they are not allowed in the hospital at all.
The UK is a very strong candidate for public dying on the street scenes going forward.