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To: Rennes Templar

Appreciate the effort to argue the point reasonably..

Yes, there have only been 700 deaths SO FAR. That’s not the issue.

The flu has a CFR of .1%. CV19 has a CFR of at least 1% (10X) and as high as 8% (Italy). Worldwide, it’s about 4.2% currently.

The flu has a R0 (contagion rate) WAY below that of CV19 (R0 of 2.5 - 3, possibly as high as 5 in some studies). That means it spreads like wildfire, whereas the flu spreads..but nothing like CV19.

Anyway..that’s the crux of the issue. A LOT more infections (spread) and a lot more deadly. But deadly aside, the bigger issue is that our hospitals can’t handle the massive caseload coming. Just look at what’s happening in NY TODAY. They need 140K beds and have 59K. Need 30K ICU beds and have one tenth of that at 3K today. That’s a big problem.

If anyone caught Cuomo’s press conference this morning, he did a great job laying out the numbers for NY. And NY is just the first city that will experience that type of scenario.


109 posted on 03/24/2020 3:44:23 PM PDT by jstolzen
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To: jstolzen

I would think the whole greater Seattle, Tacoma, Olympia area would have blown up big time by now with the scenario being painted...just a thought.


142 posted on 03/24/2020 4:18:00 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: jstolzen

“can’t handle the massive caseload coming.”

Most of these dire projections are based on the politically biased data from the COVID Act Now site.


222 posted on 03/26/2020 9:01:58 AM PDT by Rennes Templar (Heaven has a wall and gates. Hell has open borders.)
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