Nah, this probably started in China in October and was here in the US in mid-late Nov, which would put us in wave 20ish instead of wave 10 like the imperial college model had. Also means we’re probably nearly done as well - 2 or 3 more weeks and we’ll have herd immunity.
In which case our isolation was mostly dragging this out.
Virginia has only been testing vigorously for 5 days. We are getting about 38 new cases a day, every day. No exponential component yet. We’ll see.