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To: Liz

China and Iran are bogus stats. Cases and fatalities much higher than reported.

Spain is following Italy’s track.

US is trying to stay with SK’s.


96 posted on 03/23/2020 4:12:10 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: calenel

THIS JUST IN——excellent news coming out of Italy; the virus has continued to spread, but at a declining rate which reveals the claims of from idiots like Angela Merkl, and various left-wing American politicians that most of us will get sick

......nothing but a lot of hysteria designed to destroy markets and sow political destruction.......

There were fewer new infections in Italy than there have been in a week. This is not a data hiccup; there have been fewer new infections each day for four days now.

So for all the people who warn of the horrors to come, saying that what happens in Italy will soon happen here, because it looks like Italy is following the same type of curve that South Korea and, reportedly, China have followed, a curve that, for America, points to hundreds of thousands, but not hundreds of millions, of infections.


108 posted on 03/23/2020 4:25:23 PM PDT by Liz ( Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: calenel

I think the best stats to look at are here:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/21/upshot/coronavirus-deaths-by-country.html
In the first graph (Deaths by Country) all of the countries shown, except for US and perhaps France, are showing a definite flattening of the curve. Even Italy and Spain. (Of course you can take Iran’s and China’s with a grain of salt, but the others are probably fairly accurate.) In regards to the US, its numbers are still low, especially when you consider the per capita numbers. So there’s still a decent chance it will also start to flatten soon.

In the second graph (Deaths by State), NY and California are still straight, but Washington, which has been a problem the longest, is showing a good trend. NY and California also have huge populations, so you must consider per capita numbers, will hopefully improve soon. But maybe they need to keep restrictions a little longer than others. And states like Florida need to be watched. I think all this shows we need to consider the different states separately, just like the countries.

Finally, as others have pointed out, we may be over-counting CV deaths, but it’s probably best not to assume that that’s a major factor just to be safe. And I think we’ll see soon how effective the malaria medicines are.


118 posted on 03/23/2020 4:36:03 PM PDT by norcal joe
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