[datura]

The 18-48 age group is over 50% of the NYS cases in the hospital now, and they stay over 3 weeks.

Not enough data on US ICU mortality rates yet, Italian mortality from ICU is nearly 50% according to the doctors on video. Now that ChiCom doctors on site in Italy, expect the German model of assigning cause of death to the underlying causes rather than Wuhanic Plague.

We can’t even trust US data at this early point, as anecdotal reports show us doing the same thing.

No offense, and thanks for your data, but GIGO.

Here in my tiny WA county, our ICUs will be full this week.

[Mariner]

Both beds?

[LilFarmer]

Scott Gottlieb, MD @ScottGottliebMD THREAD: We compared age distribution of deaths during 1918 Spanish Flu to ICU admissions from #COVID19 in China and U.S. on premise that some of those surviving prolonged ICU admissions in 2020 may have been people who'd be accounted for in death statistics in 1918

https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1242136388209967105

[semantic]

Assumptions: 50% CV fatal per ICU, 10 day stay before death or discharge

USA	ICU per fatal	2		
Day	Cum Total	Gross	Released	Net
				
1	1	2		2
2	2	4		4
3	6	12		12
4	9	18		18
5	12	24		24
6	14	28		28
7	18	36		36
8	19	38		38
9	22	44		44
10	26	52	2	50
11	31	62	4	58
12	38	76	12	64
13	42	84	18	66
14	49	98	24	74
15	56	112	28	84
16	62	124	36	88
17	75	150	38	112
18	96	192	44	148
19	122	244	52	192
20	174	348	62	286
21	229	458	76	382
22	294	588	84	504
23	401	802	98	704
24	452	905	112	793
25	540	1,079	124	955
26	626	1,252	150	1,102
27	745	1,489	192	1,297
28	851	1,703	244	1,459
29	1,008	2,016	348	1,668
30	1,206	2,413	458	1,955
31	1,369	2,738	588	2,150
32	1,519	3,039	802	2,237

Anyone able to hunt down total US ICU inventory, coming on line over 24-48 hrs, and planned back-log?