Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: Svartalfiar

I do not know if the John Hopkins aggregator is reliable or not. Neither do you.

Yes, the links were days old (gasp). The number of deaths would certainly have changed, but to think that the PERCENTAGE showing the mortality rate would double or more over those days is extremely unlikely.

But please, go back to panicking.


68 posted on 03/22/2020 2:52:00 PM PDT by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 66 | View Replies ]


To: jdsteel
I do not know if the John Hopkins aggregator is reliable or not. Neither do you.

It's probably the most reliable source I know of, besides doing painstaking research through hundreds of countries' official websites, trying to track that info down. Which may not be that accurate either. BUT, if you know a site that's better than Johns Hopkins, please, do tell?


Yes, the links were days old (gasp). The number of deaths would certainly have changed, but to think that the PERCENTAGE showing the mortality rate would double or more over those days is extremely unlikely.

Actually, it did change, a lot. I'll use deaths / total cases, because I don't have historical data on recoveries, and your article didn't mention that number at all, so no current CFR. Going from your article to JH today, number increases were:
- Cases: 7478 to 8961, a 20% increase.
- Deaths: 51 to 111, a 118% increase.
- Best-case CFR: 0.68% to 1.24%, an 82% increase. Pretty close to doubling.


But please, go back to panicking.

The only thing I'm panicking about is all these idiot Governors and Mayors destroying the economy. But posting false information doesn't help anyone either.
69 posted on 03/23/2020 5:57:40 PM PDT by Svartalfiar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 68 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson