That’s growth, but not exponential growth. Most other places, we are seeing actual decline in the rate of growth, including in the US.
Coronavirus is going to kill people. There’s never been any doubt about that.
The question is how many and how quickly.
We still don’t know the answer to that, but there has been a lot of hopeful data reported over the last couple of days that suggest it isn’t going to be as dire as many feared.
Praying that continues to hold because if so, things could start getting back to normal relatively soon.
The case mortality rate has never been claimed to be growing exponentially.
It’s the number of cases that are growing exponentially.
I think the US data is just too new to use yet. We started with Seattle and a nursing home being hit. That sent the case mortality rate to an artificially high 6%. Now, it’s come down to 1.3%. But the testing is still ramping.
That 1.3% is still higher than the 1%, 10 times worse than seasonal flu, figure that Dr. Fouci estimated.
But it’s a lot lower than the 3.4% rate the WHO said the rest of the world had seen. Lets hope it stays that way and that we can drive the US rate lower with treatments.