The confirmed death rate tends to drop over time with most countries. US, for example, was over 4% to start, but is now at 1.3% and dropping. The reason is people start testing more people than just those really sick and so the death rate drops off. The confirmed death rate for the regular FLU is 10% for example, but the estimated death rate is less than 0.1%, because so many of the cases are mild. So, if the confirmed death rate for this is 1.3% in the US, and there are 10 assymptomatic people for every confirmed case, the actual death rate is 1/10th of that, or .13%. Italy is an unusual case with a VERY old population, heavy smoker, heavy obese in that region and 1/4 the hospital beds that the US has.
The Silk road syndrome...