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To: billyboy15
Thank you for the kind question. I am pleased to refer to the Imperial College epidemiology study which has been used by multiple national governments. In this, a worst case scenario for an unchecked progression in the US is given as 2,000,000 deaths.

It has been posted many time, here it is:

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

72 posted on 03/20/2020 8:16:09 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: nwrep

2 million is 5,000 deaths a day for a year. Get a grip. Find shelter and isolate yourself from the internet for a month.


76 posted on 03/20/2020 8:19:04 AM PDT by lodi90
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To: nwrep

Since they already have medication which has proven to be effective and since all you can do is post the worst case scenario without any reason to believe that has a chance to happen given So. Korea and Taiwan successes in controlling this, I will accept your proof for what it is and that is pure guess work.


113 posted on 03/20/2020 8:37:22 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: nwrep; abb

A scenario which entirely rejected the reality (which was already known from the quarantined cruise ships) that hydroxychloroquine (which has been in use for seventy years) will prevent this disease.

Now production is being ramped up and rapidly much of the population will be both protected from the Wuhan Bioweapon and prevented from transmitting it.

What sort of diarrhea has to fill someone’s head to ignore that and keep trying to sow panic?


145 posted on 03/20/2020 9:26:14 AM PDT by MrEdd (Caveat Emptor)
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To: nwrep

“I am pleased to refer to the Imperial College epidemiology study which has been used by multiple national governments.”

I went to the link you provided and could not find the raw data and assumptions used by the authors in developing projections of outcome scenarios.

I’m not saying the information used by the Imperial College study group is inaccurate. I just want to see the assumptions they used in developing their projections, projections they used to form their conclusions, thereby leading to their recommendations to leaders of the governments of the UK and the US.

Would you please provide a link to that kind of information?

Thank you in advance for your reply.


177 posted on 03/20/2020 2:10:56 PM PDT by Let_It_Be_So (Once you see the Truth, you cannot "unsee" it, no matter how hard you may try.)
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