[God luvs America]

you’re correct, it is a theory. But to sit on the number presently being touted as “confirmed cases” and believe those are the only cases in the country is sheer insanity...

[JayGalt]

I wasn’t claiming that the confirmed are the only cases.
I was suggesting that postulating a large pool of cases that have not been identified seems logical but the hypothesis is not borne out yet by the findings on testing since the negative rate is so high.
That’s like saying I’m giving it a lower probability but leaving my mind open

[AppyPappy]

Perhaps but we also don’t know how many people died from Corona. It’s best to stick with what you know.

[lepton]

you’re correct, it is a theory. But to sit on the number presently being touted as “confirmed cases” and believe those are the only cases in the country is sheer insanity...

---

Sure, but the numbers of people it would take out there to “be like the flu” as some have said are not realistic either. To even say that the ratio of known to unknown for the flu which is untracked is similar to the known to unknown for this Wuhan Coronavirus for which an effort has been made to actually find every single one and trace every case to a known one to see where it came from is extremely flawed.

The numbers are undoubtedly changing as the COVID has made it into the wild, but those were the claims last Monday when the community spread cases were only 40% of the traceable cases. Also you’d even have to define infections in a reasonable way, such as those who have had the disease long enough to be infectious or symptomatic (whether they actually exhibit symptoms or not).