[Fury]

I would bet that if we knew the seroconversion rate for this, we would find that the true number of cases if both significantly larger and has been around significantly longer than has been reported, which makes the true death rate and infection rate significantly less than reported currently.

Was thinking about seroconversion yesterday. Any idea when that might be known, based on your experience? I know you're not an epidemiologist, but wanted to ask.

[Paladin2]

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/11/cdc-developing-serologic-tests-that-could-reveal-full-scope-of-u-s-coronavirus-outbreak/

[Paladin2]

“Researchers in China and Singapore have also developed serologic tests and have initiated these types of studies, according to the World Health Organization. The agency has called on all countries with cases to conduct this kind of epidemiological work.”

but,

“At a press briefing in Geneva Wednesday, Van Kerkhove called for the public sharing of the results from serologic studies and said the WHO hopes to have some data in the coming weeks from China.

“It will take some time,” she said. “We do need to give them the time to run these sero-epi investigations.””