Further data that we are missing is the seroconversion rate which is of paramount importance. The South Korea numbers suggest that the actual transmitted rate if 5% (Cases (+) / Cases Tested in a highly dense area) and of that the mortalit rate is 0.7% making the population death rate 0.035%.
I saw a thread up the screen a little ways from the concerned doctors who continue to state that this is 10x more fatal than influenza and 8 x more fatal if under 60. I am not sure those numbers track.
Since the beginning we have been told that the "vast majority of cases" will be completely asymptomatic or mild and self limited. This must mean that the N of cases is significantly higher than we have recorded which makes all the current models the worst case scenario
Even in the most vulnerable of age group if you believe the 15% death rate --this means 85% of patients recover. In other words -- the vast majority of even the most endangered population recover
But we do not talk about the facts. And the economic damage is not justified based on these facts. I agree with you entirely, and am glad there is someone who thinks logically and according to facts. My guess? By May 1, back to business as usual. Then the historians can weigh in
Thanks for a breath of fresh air.
Thank you!
And the economic damage is not justified based on these facts....
==
Please send POTUS your numbers, and let him know that he is overreacting to this pandemic.
His experts are obviously misleading him.
(/s)
~~~~~~~
My guess? By May 1, back to business as usual. Then the historians can weigh in
==
I pray you are right.