[MortMan]

I saw no reference to a magic wand. I read a question as to whether the Chicoms lied about the timing, which would be the basis for speculation regarding whether the US may have seen its first wave already, deep in the midst of flu season.

It was clearly speculation. I will agree that over optimistic speculation can be dangerous, but identifying routes of investigation to unravel the history of this outbreak is important.

Only time will tell us about this outbreak. Both investigation and voluntary isolation will play important parts.

I read your original reply as stating that the speculation of lying by the Chinese and earlier US exposure was not possible. Did I misunderstand your intent?

[DouglasKC]

Only time will tell us about this outbreak. Both investigation and voluntary isolation will play important parts. I read your original reply as stating that the speculation of lying by the Chinese and earlier US exposure was not possible. Did I misunderstand your intent?

As I understood it the thrust of the article was that the Virus has already circulated throughout the United States and that we've already gone through and passed the worst of it. That's certainly NOT true because if it were we would have been experiencing what other countries are...mass sickness and overwhelming of hospitals. There's no escaping that without some type of measures to mitigate it.

I do think that the virus is already here in larger numbers than we know and this will be revealed as testing becomes more widespread.

[lepton]

I read a question as to whether the Chicoms lied about the timing,

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That much is certain. The evidence has suggested for a few weeks that the first case would have been in mid- to late-November. Here is just another step in the confirmation of it.