Posted on 03/14/2020 7:19:35 PM PDT by NoLibZone
It’s still not the flu. If it spreads like the flu, unchecked because “it’s just like the flu” and only affects the same proportion of the population as the flu (nope, there are no existing immunities or vaccines) and somehow doesn’t crash our HCS (nope, common flu often pushes it close to saturation), then 200,000 to 520,000 would die since it kills at least 10 times as many as the flu.
Feel free to check my math as you go. I am using real, publicly available numbers.
However, since there are no immunities or vaccines, all 300+ million Americans would be vulnerable. Since the best record in the world at fighting this is no better than 1% fatality rate for infected in a large scale outbreak, that’s 3 million dead. Since our HCS cannot handle anywhere near that number of sick, we get 1 in 15 numbers, like Italy. 20 million dead. Just in the USA. And no, it would not just be worthless old sick people.
Those are the real “let it burn out of control until it burns itself out” nightmare scenario numbers. Scary, huh?
Countermeasures for slowing the disease spread keep the number of cases that exist at any one time in check so as to preserve the ability of our HCS to deal with it. They give us more time to create vaccines. And possibly it gives us time to develop some herd immunity among survivors so all the doctors, nurses and patients aren’t all sick at the same time. Would it not suck to be saved at the hospital from your heart attack just to die of CV contracted in the hospital that saved you anyway? (Heart disease is one of the underlying conditions that results in a high fatality rate).
So maybe you can see why all the measures put into place by over 100 governments around the world, announced by grim-looking politicians are important. So, instead of ‘but flu’ maybe you should do something proactive.
Again, feel free to check my math
2 slices of bread + 1 bowl of milk +1tbsp butter+ 1 egg = French Toast!
“...if the world is destroyed they can have the one world government they crave.”
Russia just closed their land borders with Poland.
“...It’s that homemade hooch in WV that prevents COVID 19.....”
Years ago, I got mixed up with some of those old boys from WV at a party I was at. They had a bunch of that stuff. Man...if you didn’t have hair on your chest, it would put it on there. IF you did have hair on your chest, it probably fell off. It’s some wicked stuff....If you can drink it and live, you’ll likely survive COVID 19....LOL
I think the teenager from Seattle, though he made a very good site, doesn’t yet seem to have his data scraping quite figured out 100%.
I see from his site a global total of:
155,086
However I get from another site:
156,730
The higher totals are from:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
If you don’t mind, is this thing really real? I can’t believe what’s happening here in CA. Statistically, this virus leaves us well below norms in terms of flu fatalities. Based on what I’ve read.
We always need to be hygiene-conscious. Forgive the question: should we be panicking like so many are? Or else is this nothing more than it appears to be?
Thank you for the reply. There did seem a deep disconnect from what I’ve observed, and noted from online sources, and the extent of reactions from local to global.
To be safe, I’ve kept my hands washed after every contact with the unfamiliar. Kept my phones disinfected, my lap tops. I discounted the danger, nonetheless. However,. It seems like half of LA is shut down. The balance, certainly in terms of grocery stores and the like, are being bought out in panic-fashion.
We’ve gotten a lot of rain, which is something of a novelty here. It’s my understanding that flu viruses of every strain do poorly when the weather warms. I’ve evidently not cared enough before to pay attention, but now ... ?
If you don’t mind, where are you, btw?
The death in Kansas was a resident of the Life Center of Kansas City nursing home run by the same company as the WA nursing home with all the deaths.
This can only accrue to our benefit. Ours and the rest of the West inuring to the whole of humanity.
I still refuse to believe the Coronavirus business is any kind of impediment.
Not that I can’t be wrong. I’m open to anything at this point.
Bad data....days old. Arkansas has 12
Also just why have the Indian subcontinent and sub Sahara Africa been relatively spared.”
“Because they don’t have adequate HCSs and can’t even properly test. A few hundred, or even a few thousand deaths would not really be noticed, yet. How long did it go under the radar in Iran?”
Or, hopefully, because of the hot temperatures there.
You are not alone.
Are these presumptive or CDC confirmed?
Are these presumptive or CDC confirmed?
“Right now, the number of COVID-19 cases pales in comparison to the number of flu cases.”
True.
The problem is that the flu has .01% death rate and Covid19 has a 2.0% death rate. Thus, if 80,000,000 people get the flu, then 80,000 will die. If 80,000,000 get the Covid19, then 1,600,000 people will die.
Covid19 is 200 times more deadly than the flu.
Excessive reactions to the Covid19, such as cancelling baseball games and college classes, is reasonable. Seems silly but it is still reasonable. Got to nip it in the bud.
Trump is doing all the right things.
I’ve been using worldometer as well. But, it doesn’t have a breakdown of the US States- which was what the thread was about. Do, I thought I’d share.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.