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To: calenel
Please, throw the Chinese numbers out and look at South Korea. South Korea is more analogous to the US.

And, one can determine absolutely nothing from the confirmed death to confirmed case rate on any flu.

We had 222,000 confirmed flu cases this flu season with 22,000 confirmed deaths. But, the estimated number that had the flu was 36 million.

Anyone claiming there is an accurate death rate for Corono is lying. But, it is quite possible the actual death rate isn't much different than any other severe strains of the flu.

1,399 posted on 03/14/2020 2:30:54 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: All

Commonwealth of Virginia Reports First COVID-19 Death
in the Peninsula Health District: http://ow.ly/XVdC50yLV46. Virginia has 41 cases of COVID-19.


1,403 posted on 03/14/2020 2:34:42 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Kazan

I’ve been going by the SK numbers. 0.9% and only going to go up because they have a huge number of unresolved, still. But they will have identified the vast majority of infected, so there isn’t much likelihood of diluting that number back down. And the SK numbers will include the asymptomatic infected that we normally don’t even include for the flu. SK is the best numbers we are going to get, and probably the best outcome, overall, for any country, barring some game changer like a vaccine.

We had perhaps as many as 51 million cases, 670,000 hospitalizations for flu, and 55,000 deaths, high end numbers from the CDC. (Where did you get your stats?) Imagine that 10-fold. And of that 51 million, most simply bought flu meds without any sort of medical interaction.

At the other end is Italy. That’s what happens when you let it get away from you. 1 in 15 dead.

I, and most people with any sense, long ago tossed the Chinese numbers. They have been flat out lying since the beginning. Iran, too.

Your data is bad, and that might be why you don’t understand why drastic measures have been taken, not just by the Trump administration but by dozens of governments around the world. Dig a bit deeper and actually read what has been posted.


1,439 posted on 03/14/2020 3:28:01 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant.)
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