Sorry, but this “Worst Case” isn’t even close to right.
If 20 Million Americans get this disease in a short timeframe, and 10-15% require hospitalization thats 2- 3 Million, and if most of those need ventilators/respirators, only about 100k of them will get them, because thats the rough count of how many there are total in the US...
So, if you had a quick and rapid explosion of 20 Million cases in a brief time frame, expect death counts in the 2 Million+ range.
So, I counted three (3) “if’s” in two (2) paragraphs. That seems quite convincing to me....