Not so much the number of deaths, but that the number of serious cases could pile on in a relatively short period of time, should we go the “flu bro” route, overwhelming our health systems like in Italy. Fortunately, our average age is lower and we have a good health baseline, in spite of all the obesity, so I suspect percentage of serious cases will be lower, no more than 10 percent, IMO.
10 percent serious hospitalization won’t save us.
5 percent serious hospitalization won’t save us.
Run the numbers....
Also, remember the serious hospitalization numbers will follow the cases, which are clusters.
As we have discussed here in great detail, it would be virtually impossible to transport thousands of these patients around the country to places that had excess capacity.