The reason history matters is that human nature has not changed—and markets are driven by the emotions of human beings....so imho you are over-analyzing—a bear market has to run its course,,,and history gives us a good feel for what that looks like...
The whole concept of a bear market is that it over-compensates on the negative side.
Unless the chicoms nationalize US facilities there, our stocks are fine long term.
Panic is selling out your entire position at this point if you won’t need it for 10 yrs or longer.
Just IMHO.
Ok, we’ll think differently here. My thought is that there are real long-term factors, not just fear or other panic-related reactions.
We shall see who’s right!