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To: cgbg
cgbg predicts the cases will peak by mid-April.

??

42?

1,235 posted on 03/12/2020 9:05:46 AM PDT by Fury
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To: Fury

Doubling every three days takes you to half the population infected by mid April....

I discussed the starting point calculation yesterday—you have to normalize the case rate by the low testing rate, match Italy’s testing rate and you get that the starting point is 50K cases today.

But even if today we only have 10K cases that only adds a week.


1,237 posted on 03/12/2020 9:08:13 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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