We caught a very short comment from the evening news, a lady mentioned 70,000 ? Don’t know her reference, but I believe was NBC?
The Chris Martenson video (”Our Authorities Poor Response) was very interesting:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCD2-QVBQi48RRQTD4Jhxu8w
He covered many of the same topics we covered today.
But he didn’t know why there was so little testing because he made the video before we found out (lab equipment, lab equipment, lab equipment—a killer bottleneck).
If you want to panic, all you need to do is make one simple calculation:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Italy cases: 10,149 cases per 1M population: 167.9
So that is a metric that actually tells you about testing—the testing rate in Italy.
Now, for the US
US cases: 975 cases cases per 1M population: 2.9
So, if we take the Italy testing rate and we divide it by the US testing rate, 167.9/2.9 = 57.9.
That means if we tested at the same rate as Italy we would have 975 x 57.9 = 56,452 cases.
US—56,452 cases.
That is my estimate for US cases.
Double every three days—here we go:
Friday the 13th—112,904
March 16—225,808
March 19—451,615
March 22—903,230
March 25-1,806,460
March 28-3,612,920
End of March—7,225,840
That would mean over a million folks requiring hospitalization.
They used to call economics the dismal profession.
I now declare math the dismal profession. :-(