“THE RATE OF SPREAD IS REPORTED AS DOUBLING EVERY 6 DAYS.”
The early data out of China said an R0 of 3.8. With an incubation overage of 5-7 days.
That would indication 3.8x every six days for prevalence of infection, with with the hospitalization curve lagging by about the same 6 days.
We can expect a lower R0 than China mostly because of cultural differences.
But how much lower?
And China had to close down 1/2 their country to slow and reduce the R0.
Would the US do that?
Gave up on China data long ago (though it’s better now).
Wuhan healthcare broke down- driving up spread and deaths; CCP lied- driving down reports of spread and deaths. An unusable mess.
They cclosed down areas after their pitiful healthcare system was overwhelemd